Canada’s Major Projects Office: A Lottery, Not Reform

Canadian Major Projects Office Grapples with Implementation Challenges

The Canadian government’s Major Projects Office (MPO), initially touted as a streamlined solution for critical infrastructure development, is increasingly revealing itself to be more of a financing facilitator than a regulatory accelerator. While aimed at reducing Canada’s economic dependence on the United States and boosting non-U.S. exports by doubling them over the next decade, its current operational model selectively benefits a few chosen projects, leaving the broader regulatory landscape largely unaddressed.

Established with considerable fanfare and a federal budget allocation of $214 million, the MPO was envisioned to be a single point of contact for advancing “nation-building” projects. Its mandate, initially conceived to fast-track regulatory approvals for projects deemed in the national interest under Bill C-5, has expanded to include structuring project financing and coordinating backing from existing government agencies like the Canada Infrastructure Bank and the Canada Growth Fund, according to reporting by The Globe and Mail. However, the practical application of this mandate has led to questions about its effectiveness in addressing systemic issues.

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s administration has so far referred 13 projects to the MPO for consideration. These include an expansion to the Port of Montreal, Phase 2 of the LNG Canada liquefied natural gas terminal, the Darlington small modular reactor in Ontario, and several critical mineral mining operations such as the McIlvenna Bay Project in Saskatchewan and the Red Chris Mine expansion in British Columbia. Notably, a second tranche of projects announced in November 2025 included the North Coast Transmission Line, the Ksi Lisims LNG project, Northcliff Resources’ Sisson Mine, Canada Nickel’s Crawford Project, the Iqaluit Nukkiksautiit Hydro Project, and Nouveau Monde Graphite’s Matawinie Mine. These projects represent a combined investment of over $116 billion, according to government figures.

Despite the MPO’s existence, the underlying regulatory environment for the majority of industrial projects remains complex and slow. Critics argue that by concentrating regulatory and financial support on a select few, the MPO inadvertently exacerbates the difficulties for other projects not on its priority list. This “lottery economy” approach, where government intervention steers capital to specific ventures, stands in contrast to a genuine, broad-based regulatory reform that could benefit all potential investments.

Financing Takes Precedence Over Regulatory Fast-Tracking

A key observation from industry insiders and government officials is that many projects referred to the MPO are already well into their regulatory review processes. As Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson noted, the primary challenge for these projects often isn’t regulatory approval but securing the substantial capital required to move from planning to construction. This reality has shifted the MPO’s focus toward financing solutions, making it more akin to a project financier and coordinator than purely a regulatory expediter.

For instance, Nouveau Monde Graphite, whose Matawinie Mine project was referred to the MPO in late November 2025, confirmed that its environmental permitting was largely complete. Their immediate need is project financing to initiate construction. Similarly, Canada Nickel’s Crawford Project, while still in regulatory stages, views MPO referral as an endorsement that could attract private investment and potentially unlock government funding, rather than primarily speeding up permits.

The Canadian government has empowered several entities to address this financing gap. The Canada Infrastructure Bank received an additional $10 billion in borrowing authority and can now invest in any MPO-referred project, irrespective of its original sectoral mandate. The Canada Growth Fund and the Indigenous Loan Guarantee Corporation have also seen expanded investment capacities. Furthermore, Ottawa established a $2 billion Critical Minerals Sovereign Fund, recognizing the strategic importance of these resources in global supply chains and the need to counter the dominance of “non-market actors,” a veiled reference to China’s control over critical mineral production.

Missed Opportunities and the Broader Regulatory Context

The MPO’s selective approach highlights a broader failure to implement comprehensive regulatory reform. The two-year approval timeframe that the MPO aims for its designated projects is not the standard for others, perpetuating a two-tiered system. This was underscored by Nutrien Ltd.’s recent decision to invest up to $1 billion in an export terminal in Longview, Washington, instead of Canada, to ship potash to Asian markets. Nutrien CEO Ken Seitz had previously cited regulatory hurdles, tax burdens, and lengthy approval timelines as decisive factors in choosing between Canadian and U.S. port options. This move means a significant portion of Canadian potash exports will flow through U.S. infrastructure, undermining Canada’s diversification goals.

The incident prompted an “emergency intervention” from Ottawa, with Transport Minister Steve MacKinnon indicating a desire to understand Canada’s shortcomings. However, critics argue that simply making Nutrien the 14th MPO-favored project would not resolve the systemic issues. Instead, a genuine commitment to broad-based regulatory reform is needed, including streamlining inter-provincial regulations, promoting concurrent rather than sequential review processes, and fostering a mindset that explicitly prioritizes economic expansion. The establishment of a federal Red Tape Reduction Office, if adequately resourced and empowered, could be instrumental in achieving these goals.

Furthermore, corporate taxation policies continue to favor niche sectors through “boutique tax carve-outs,” rather than implementing broad-based cuts that would stimulate investment across all industries. This technocratic approach, where government attempts to pick economic winners, rather than allowing market forces to drive investment, is seen by some as a fundamental misjudgment of private sector decision-making.

For additional insights into Canada’s economic policies and their impact on global trade, read more on Globally Pulse Business.

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